Suzanne Gaither Jennings Husband, Articles I

", Producers: Jamie Benson, Jacob Rosen, Sara Cook and Eleanor Watson, CBSN Production: Eric SoussaninShow email:TakeoutPodcast@cbsnews.comTwitter:@TakeoutPodcastInstagram:@TakeoutPodcastFacebook:Facebook.com/TakeoutPodcast, First published on December 17, 2021 / 6:00 AM. Most Accurate Pollster of 2016's 'Red Wave' Predictions Failed Perfect example look at New Hampshire. "It was a knock on Perdue that he didn't go.". Cahaly accurately predicted a close gubernatorial race in the deep blue stronghold of New York, a race Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul won by 6 points, and he was shockingly close to the final results in statewide races in Wisconsin, Missouri, North Carolina and Georgia. The second-largest retail pharmacy chain wont buck Republican attorneys general. Trafalgar Group's Robert Cahaly joined Liz Collin by phone to discuss the results of a recent poll. Can you tell me that Saint Anselms College doesnt know what theyre doing? That was not something that would have happened with Romney or Bush or McCain. In the closing weeks of the campaign, Trafalgar was one of several conservative-leaning pollsters behind a dizzying number of battleground state polls that, in aggregate, appeared to indicate Republicans were in for a big night. ROBERT CAHALY: We would just ask people, you know, how do you think your neighbors are voting? The one thing to be wary of is an ice storm in Atlanta," Cahaly said. The stakes are high for next week's election. November 4th, 2022 Mike Bayham. Robert Cahaly is a surveyor who claims the Trafalgar Gathering which is an assessment surveying and study organization. I think scientific, all these numbers this is a good way to do things, but you have to use good sense and good judgment, too. ", The Trafalgar Group's polling methods: "You know, our premise is people lie, people lie to their doctor, they lie to their lawyer, they lie to their priest and all of a sudden they become Honest Abe when they take a poll? It would take wins from Raphael Warnock, the Democrat challenging Loeffler, and Jon Ossoff, the Democrat challenging Perdue, for the party to claim 50 seats in the Senate. And so forth.The thing is if you look at the last three weeks, nobody was right. North Carolina, Missouri, and even the race for governor in Nevada those were all relatively close. By Ben Mathis-Lilley. August 12, 2023. luckbox content is for informational and educational purposes only.